National Long-Term Care Survey

Results of Search for Publications by NLTCS section: Mortality

A cohort analysis of US stomach cancer mortality - 1950 to 1977.   Manton KG, Stallard E. International Journal of Epidemiology. 1982. 11(1):49-61. Abstract.

A Linear Models Application of Competing Risks to Multiple Causes of Death.  Tolley HD, Manton KG, Poss Sharon Sandomirsky. Biometrics. 1978. 34:581-591. Abstract.

A Linear Models Approach to the Study of Current Mortality Experience.  Manton KG, Poss Sharon Sandomirsky, Tolley HD. Center for Demographic Studies. 1984. Duke University.

A Longitudinal Study Of Functional Change And Mortality In The United States.   Manton KG. Journal of Gerontology. 1988.43(5):S153-61. Abstract.

A Multiple Cause of Death Analysis of Hypertension-Related Mortality in North Carolina, 1968-1977.  Wing Steve, Manton KG. American Journal of Public Health. 1981. 71(8):823-830. Abstract.

A Random-Walk Model of Human Mortality and Aging.  Woodbury MA, Manton KG. Theoretical Population Biology. 1977. 11:37-48.

A two-disease model of female breast cancer: Mortality in 1969 among white females in the United States.   Manton KG, Stallard E. Journal of the National Cancer Institute. 1980. 64(1):9-16.

Accuracy of Death Certification.  Myers GC, Manton KG. Proceedings of The Social Statistics Section, American Statistical Association. 1983. pages. 321-325.

Active Life Expectancy in the US Elderly Population 1982-1991: Dynamic Equilibria of Mortality and Disability.  Manton KG, Stallard E, Corder LS. Center for Demographic Studies. 1993. Duke University.

Alternative Models for the Heterogeneity of Mortality Risks Among the Aged.  Manton KG, Stallard E, Vaupel JW. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 1986. 81(395):635-644. Jstor.

An Analysis of Changes in the Risk of Mortality from Chronic Lung Disease, 1968-1977.  Patrick CH, Manton KG. Risk Analysis. 1982. 2(3):183-193.

An Overview of Research on Models of Mortality and Longevity in the Elderly Population.  Manton KG. Presented to the National Institute on Aging, National Institutes of Health, Bethesda, Maryland. 1980. July 30, 1980.

Analyses of cohort mortality incorporating observed and unobserved risk factors.   Manton KG, Lowrimore GR, Yashin AI, Tolley HD. Computers Math Applic. 1997. 25(7):89-107.

Apolipoprotein-E survival in Alzheimers-disease patients, and the competing risks of death and Alzheimers-disease.   Corder EH, Saunders AM, Strittmatter WJ, Schmechel DE, Gaskell PC, Rimmler JB, Locke PA, Conneally PM, Schmader KE, Tanzi RE, Gusella JF, Small GW, Roses AD, Pericak-Vance MA, Haines JL. Neurology. 1995. 45(7):1323-1328. Abstract.

Bioactuarial models of national mortality time series data: Strategies for making full information estimates of national morbidity distributions.   Manton KG, Stallard E. Health Care Financing Review. 1982. 3(3):89-106.

Blood pressure and mortality risk in the elderly.  Taylor JO, Cornoni-Huntley J, Curb JD, Manton KG, Ostfeld AM, Scherr P, Wallace RB. American Journal of Epidemiology. 1991. 134(5):489-501. Abstract.

Changes in Health Functioning and Mortality.  Manton KG, Stallard E. Legacy of Longevity: Health and Health Care in Later Life. 1234. Stahl Sidney M. Ed. Sage Publications: London. 7:140-162.

Changes In Health Service Use And Mortality Among US Elderly In 1980-1986.   Manton KG, Vertrees JC, Wrigley JM. Journal of Aging and Health. 1990. 2(2):131-56. Abstract.

Changes in Health, Mortality, and Disability and Their Impact on Long-Term Care Needs.  Manton KG, Stallard E. Journal of Aging and Social Policy. 1996. 7(3/4):25-52.

Changes in the age dependence of mortality and disability: cohort and other determinants.  Manton KG, Stallard E, Corder LS. Demography. 1997. 34(1):135-157.

Changing concepts of morbidity and mortality in the elderly population.   Manton KG. Milbank Quarterly. 1982. 60:183-244.

Comment on Robert L Brown's "Social Security: Regressive or Progressive?".   Manton KG, Land KC. North American Actuarial Journal. 1998. 2:27-28. Full Text

Compression of Mortality: Myth or Reality.  Meyers GC, Manton KG. Gerontologist. 1984. 24(4):346-353.

Debilitation's Aftermath: Stochastic Process Models of Mortality.  Vaupel JW, Yashin AI, Manton KG. International Institute for Applied Systems Analysis. 1986. WP-86-74.

Disability and mortality: Interactions with retirement age.   Manton KG. Social Security Bulletin. 1996. 59(4):71-74. Full Text. Table 1. Table 2. Table 3. Table 4.

Dynamic paradigms for human mortality and aging.   Manton KG. Journal of Gerontology: Biological Sciences. 1999. 54A:B247-B254. Figure 1. Figure 2.

Effects of dependency among causes of death for cause elimination life table strategies.   Manton KG, Poss SS. Demography. 1979. 16(2):313-327.

Empirical Bayes procedures for stabilizing maps of US cancer mortality rates.  Manton KG, Woodbury MA, Stallard E, Riggan WB, Creason JP, Pellom AC. Journal of the American Statistical Association. 1989. 84:637-650.

Estimates of US multiple cause life tables.   Manton KG, Stallard E, Poss SS. Demography. 1980. 17(1): 85-102.

Forcasts of the Theoretical Limits to Human Life Expectancy.  Manton KG, Woodbury MA, Stallard E. Center for Demographic Studies, Duke University. 1988. Presented at the Workshop on Estimating an Upper Limit to Human Life Expectancy.

FY 2002 Hearing on Life Span House Subcommittee on Labor-HHS-Education Appropriations.   Hodes Richard J. Department Of Health And Human Services, National Institutes Of Health. 2001. April 4. Link.

Gender differences in the cross-sectional and cohort age dependence of cause specific mortality: The US 1962 to 1995.   Manton KG. Journal of Gender-Specific Medicine. 2000. 3(4):47-54. (Won the Irene M. Ferrer Award for Outstanding Research in Gender-Specific Medicine, from the Partnership for Women's Health at Columbia University, New York, Feb. 10, 2000, $50,000 prize). Abstract.

Genetic epidemiologic studies on age-specified traits.   Hadley EC, Rossi WK, Albert S, Bailey-Wilson J, Baron J, Cawthon R, Christian JC, Corder EH, Franceschi C, Kestenbaum B, Kruglyak L, Lauderdale DS, Lubitz J, Martin GM, McClearn GE, McGue M, Miles T, Mineau G, Ouellett G, Pedersen NL, Preston SH, Page WF. American Journal of Epidemiology. 2000. 152(11):1003-1008. Abstract. Full Text.

Health and mortality of the elderly: the grade of membership method, classification and determination.   Portrait F, Lindeboom M, Deeg D. Health Economics. 1999. 8(5):441-457.

Heterogeneity and its effects on mortality measurement.   Chapter 12 in Methodologies for the Collection and Analysis of Mortality Data. Manton KG, Stallard E. International Union for the Scientific Study of Population, Vallin J, Pollard JH, Heligman L, Eds. 1984. Ordina Editions. pp. 265- 299 Full Text

How could demographic changes affect the Social Security system: Perspectives on forecasting mortality.   Manton KG. Testimony before the House Budget Committee, Task Force for Social Security. April 13, 1999, Washington, DC.

Likelihood methods integrating multiple sources of data in mortality analyses.   Manton KG, Tolley HD, Lowrimore GR, Yashin AI. Proceedings ISI. 1997. 51 Session, Istanbul, August 18-26.

Limits to Human Life Expectancy: Evidence, Prospects, and Implications.  Manton KG, Stallard E, Tolley HD. Population and Development Review. 1991. 17(4):603-637.

Longevity in the United States: Age and sex specific evidence on life span limits from mortality patterns: 1960-1990.   Manton KG, Stallard E. Journal of Gerontology: Biological Sciences. 1996. 51A(5):B362-B375. Abstract.

Mechanisms of Aging and Mortality: Searches for New Paradigms.   Manton KG, Yashin AI. Monographs on Population Aging. 2000. 7. Odense University Press:Odense, Denmark.

Medical Demography: Interaction of Disability Dynamics and Mortality.  Manton KG, Stallard E. National Academy Press. 1994. Martin L. G. and Preston S. H. editors, Washington DC.

Methods for comparing the mortality experience of heterogeneous populations.   Manton KG, Stallard E, Vaupel JW. Demography. 1981. 18:389-410.

Methods for the analysis of mortality risks across heterogeneous small populations: Examination of space-time gradients in cancer mortality in North Carolina counties 1970-75.   Manton KG, Stallard E. Demography. 1981. 18(2):217-230.

Mortality and Morbidity.  Manton KG. Handbook of Aging and the Social Sciences, Third Edition. 1990. Robert H.Binstock and Linda K.George ed., Academic Press, San Diego, Ca.

Mortality crossover: Investigation from the perspective of the components of aging.   Manton KG, Poss SS, Wing S. Gerontologist. 1979. 19(3):291-299.

Mortality model based on delays in progression of chronic diseases: Alternatives to cause elimination model.   Manton KG, Patrick CH, Stallard E. Public Health Reports. 1980. 95:580-588.

Mortality of the chronically impaired.   Manton KG, Stallard E. Demography. 1980. 17:189-206.

Multidimensional disability/mortality trajectories at ages 65 and over: The impact of state dependence.   Manton KG, Land KC. Soc Indic Res. 2000. 51(2):193-221. Full Text. Table 1. Table 2. Table 3. Table 4. Table 5. Table 6. Table 7. Table 8. Table 9. Table 10.

National Trends in Stroke-Related Mortality: A Comparison of Multiple Cause Mortality Data with Survey and Other Health Data.  Baum HM, Manton KG. The Gerontological Society of America. 1987. 27(3)293-300.

Nonwhite and white age trajectories of mortality: Evidence from extinct cohort analysis, 1950 to 1992.   Manton KG, Stallard E. Minorities, Aging, and Health. 1997. Markides K, Miranda M, eds. Sage Publications, pp. 15-35.

Past and Future Life Expectancy Increases at Later Ages: Their Implications for the Linkage of Chronic Morbidity, Disability, and Mortality.  Manton KG. Journal of Gerontology. 1986. 41(5):672-681. Abstract.

Population impact of mortality reduction: The effects of elimination of major causes of death on the "saved" population.   Manton KG, Patrick CH, Stallard E. International Journal of Epidemiology. 1980. 9(2):111-120. Abstract.

Risk Factor Dynamics, Mortality and Life Expectancy Differences between Eastern and Western Finland: the Finnish Cohorts of the Seven Countries Study.  Pekkanen Juha, Manton KG, Stallard E, Nissinen Aulikki, Karvonen Martti J. International Journal of Epidemiology. 1992. 21(2):406-419.

Sex and race specific mortality differentials in multiple cause of death data.   Manton KG. Gerontologist. 1980. 20:480-493.

Sex Differences In Functional Impairment In The US Elderly Population: The Interaction Of Specific Diseases, Functional Impairments, And Mortality.  Manton KG. Population Association of America. 1988. New Orleans, April.

Sex differences in human mortality and aging at late ages: The effect of mortality selection and state dynamics.  Manton KG, Woodbury MA, Stallard E. Gerontologist. 1995. 35(5):597-608. Abstract.

Strategies for collating diverse scientific evidence in the analysis of population health characteristics: Bioactuarial models of chronic disease mortality for the elderly.   Manton KG, Liu K. Sociological Methods and Research. 1985. 13(3):407-31.

Suicide in Late Life.  Blazer DG, Bachar JR, Manton KG. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society. 1986. 34(7):519-525.

Survival after the age of 80 in the United States, Sweden, France, England, and Japan.   Manton KG, Vaupel JW. New England Journal of Medicine. 1995. 333(18):1232-1235. Abstract.

Temporal and age variation of the US black/white cause specific mortality differentials: A study of the recent changes in the relative health status of the US black population.   Manton KG. Gerontologist. 1982. 22(2):170-179.

Temporal trends in US multiple cause of data: 1968 to 1977.   Manton KG, Stallard E. Demography. 1982. 19(4):527-547.

The Black/White Mortality Crossover: Investigation from the Perspective of the Components of Aging.  Manton KG, Poss SS, Wing Steven. Gerontologist. 1979. 19(3):291-300.

The Black/White Mortality Crossover: Investigation in a Community-Based Study.  Wing S, Manton KG, Stallard E, Hames CG, Tyroler HA. Journal of Gerontology. 1985. 40(1):78-84.

The Contribution of Hypertension to Mortality in the US: 1968, 1977.  Wing Steve, Manton KG. American Journal of Public Health. 1983. 73(2):140-144.

The effect of middle- and old-age body mass index on short-term mortality in older people.  Taylor DH Jr, Ostbye T. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society. 2001. 49(10):1319-26. Abstract.

The effects of health histories on stochastic process models of aging and mortality.  Yashin AI, Manton KG, Woodbury MA, Stallard E. Journal of Math Biol. 1995. 34(1):1-16. Abstract.

The Impact Of Heterogeneity In Individual Frailty On The Dynamics Of Mortality.  Vaupel JW, Manton KG, Stallard E. Demography. 1979. 16(3):439-454.

The Influence of Disease Risk Factors on Health Status and Mortality Projections for Aged Populations.  Dowd JE, Manton KG, Stallard E, Woodbury MA. United Nations, World Health Organization, IUSSP Committee On Adult Mortality, City of Sendei, and Japan Aging Research Center. 1993. Conference on Health And Mortality Trends Among Elderly Populations: Determinants And Implications, Sendei City, Japan, June 21 to 25.

The limits of longevity and their implications for health and mortality in developed countries.   Manton KG, Stallard E, Corder LS. UN-CBGS Symposium on Health and Mortality. 1999. (Presented at the Symposium on Health and Mortality, Brussels, Belgium, November 19-22, 1998.) Full Text. Table 1. Figure 1. Figure 2.

The Participant Effect: Mortality In A Community-Based Study Compared To Vital Statistics.  Wing Steve, Tyroler HA, Manton KG. Journal of Chron Dis. 1985. 38(2):135-144.

The Structure of Urban Mortality: A methodological Study of Hannover, Germany (I).  Myers GC, Manton KG. International Journal of Epidemiology. 1977. 6(3):203-212.

The use of mortality time series data to produce hypothetical morbidity distributions and project mortality trends.   Manton KG, Stallard E. Demography. 1982. 19:223-240.

Time-varying covariates in models of human mortality and aging: Multidimensional generalizations of the Gompertz.   Manton KG, Stallard E, Woodbury MA, Dowd JE. Journal of Gerontology. 1994. 49(4):B169-90. Abstract

Vitality index in survival modeling: How physiological aging influences mortality.   Zuev SM, Yashin AI, Manton KG, Dowd E, Pogojev IB, Usmanov RN. Journal of Gerontology: Biological Sciences. 2000. 55(1):B10-B19. Abstract.

What's the fuss about the compression of mortality?   Manton KG, Singer B. Chance. 1994. 7(4):21-30. Full Text