National Long-Term Care Survey

Results of Search for NLTCS Publications by any CDS/Duke Affiliated Authors

A Longitudinal Study Of Functional Change And Mortality In The United States.   Manton KG. Journal of Gerontology. 1988.43(5):S153-61. Abstract.

A Multidimensional Approach To Case Mix For Home Health Services.  Manton KG, Hausner T. Health Care Financing Review. 1987. 8(4):37-54. Abstract.

Active life expectancy estimates for US elderly population: Multidimenstional continuous mixture model of functional change applied to completed cohorts, 1982 to 1996.  Manton KG, Land KC. Demography. 2000. 37(3):253-65. Abstract.

Active Life Expectancy in the US Elderly Population 1982-1991: Dynamic Equilibria of Mortality and Disability.  Manton KG, Stallard E, Corder LS. Center for Demographic Studies. 1993. Duke University.

Aging and health in old age.   Manton KG. International Encyclopedia of the Social and Behavioral Science. 2001. Elsvier Science:Oxford, England.

Analyses of cohort mortality incorporating observed and unobserved risk factors.   Manton KG, Lowrimore GR, Yashin AI, Tolley HD. Computers Math Applic. 1997. 25(7):89-107.

Analysis Of Underwriting Factors For AAPCC (adjusted average per capita cost).   Manton KG, Stallard E. Health Care Financing Review. 1992. 14(1):117-32. Abstract.

Are For-Profit Hospital Conversions Harmful to Patients and to Medicare?   Picone G, Chou SY, Sloan FA. RAND Journal of Economics. 2002. 33(3):507-523. Reprint.

Assessing Health Care Costs in the Elderly.  Tolley HD, Manton KG. Society of Actuaries. 1985. pages 579-603.

Changes In Health Service Use And Mortality Among US Elderly In 1980-1986.   Manton KG, Vertrees JC, Wrigley JM. Journal of Aging and Health. 1990. 2(2):131-56. Abstract.

Changes in Health, Mortality, and Disability and Their Impact on Long-Term Care Needs.  Manton KG, Stallard E. Journal of Aging and Social Policy. 1996. 7(3/4):25-52.

Changes in home care use by disabled elderly persons: 1982-1994.   Liu K, Manton KG, Aragon C. Journal of Gerontology: Social Sciences. 2000. 55B:S245-S253. Abstract.

Changes In Morbidity And Chronic Disability In The US Elderly Population: Evidence From The 1982, 1984, And 1989 National Long Term Care Surveys.   Manton KG, Stallard E, Corder LS. Journal of Gerontology: Ser B-Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 1995. 50(4):S194-204. Abstract.

Changes in the age dependence of mortality and disability: cohort and other determinants.  Manton KG, Stallard E, Corder LS. Demography. 1997. 34(1):135-157.

Changes in the prevalence of chronic disability in the United States black and nonblack population above age 65 from 1982 to 1999.   Manton KG, Gu X. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA. 2001. 98(11):6354-9. Abstract. Full Text (.html). Full Text (.pdf).

Changes in the Use of Personal Assistance and Special Equipment from 1982 to 1989: Results from the 1982 and 1989 NLTCS.   Manton KG, Corder LS, Stallard E. Gerontologist. 1993. 33(2):768-77. Abstract.

Chronic Disability Is Decreasing In The United States, Particularly Among Black Americans.   Manton KG, Gu X. Geriatrics. 2001. Duluth; Jul.

Chronic disability trends in elderly United States populations 1982 - 1994.   Manton KG, Corder LS, Stallard E. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA. 1997. 94:2593-2598. Abstract. Full Text.

Chronic disease models.   Manton KG. The Encyclopedia of Biostatistics. 1997. Armitage P, Colton T, Eds.). Wiley:New York.

Chronic morbidity and disability in the US elderly population: Recent trends and population implications.   Manton KG. Handbook of Pain and Aging. 1997. Mostofsky DI, Lomranz J, Eds., Plenum:New York, pp. 37-67.

Comment on Robert L Brown's "Social Security: Regressive or Progressive?".   Manton KG, Land KC. North American Actuarial Journal. 1998. 2:27-28. Full Text

Compression of disability: evidence from the national long-term care survey.   Corder LS. Nutr Rev. 1996. 54(1):S9-S16.

Cost and Outcomes of Stroke and Hip Fracture: Rising Costs but Better Outcomes?   Sloan FA, Taylor DH Jr, Picone GA. American Journal of Public Health. 1999. 89(6): 935-937. Abstract.

Cross-Sectional Estimates Of Active Life Expectancy For The US Elderly And Oldest-Old Populations.   Manton KG, Stallard E. Journal of Gerontology. 1991. 46(3):S170-82. Abstract.

Current trends in healthy life expectancy and declining disability rates in the USA.   Manton KG. World Health Report 1998: Life in the 21st Century? Vision for All. 1998. World Health Organization:Geneva, Switzerland.

Decreasing morbidity will affect LTC insurance.   Stallard E. LTC News and Comment: News and Views on the Financing of Long-Term Care. 1999. 9:1-3, July.

Demographic trends among the aging female population.   Manton KG. Journal of the American Medical Women's Association. 1997. 52(3):99-105. Abstract. Full Text.

Demography of populations and global aging: Societal implications of the oldest-old.   Manton KG. in Modern Topics in the Biology of Aging. Cristofalo VJ, Adelman D. (Eds). in Advances in Gerontology and Geriatrics, series editor-in-chief Powell Lawton. Springer:New York, in press.

Disability and mortality: Interactions with retirement age.   Manton KG. Social Security Bulletin. 1996. 59(4):71-74. Full Text. Table 1. Table 2. Table 3. Table 4.

Discussion of "Combining life table data" by GW Fellingham and HD Tolley.  Stallard E. North American Actuarial Journal. 1999. 3(3):38-39.

Does Higher Hospital Cost Imply Higher Quality of Care?   Picone GA, Sloan FA, Chou SY, Taylor DH Jr. Review of Economics and Statistics. 2003. 85(1):51-62.

Dynamic paradigms for human mortality and aging.   Manton KG. Journal of Gerontology: Biological Sciences. 1999. 54A:B247-B254. Figure 1. Figure 2.

Economic effects of reducing disability.   Manton KG, Stallard E, Corder LS. American Economic Review: Proceedings. 1998. 88(2):101-105. JSTOR.

Education specific estimates of life expectancy and age specific disability in the US elderly population: 1982 to 1991.   Manton KG, Stallard E, Corder LS. Journal of Aging and Health. 1997. 9:419-450. Abstract.

Effect of Alzheimer disease on the cost of treating other diseases.  Sloan FA, Taylor DH Jr.. Alzheimer Dis Assoc Disord. 2002. 16(3):137-43. Abstract.

Effects of admission to a teaching hospital on the cost and quality of care for medicare beneficiaries.   Taylor DH, Whellan DJ, Sloan FA. New England Journal of Medicine. 1999. 340(4):293-299. Abstract.

Effects of medical research on health care and the economy.   Pardes H, Manton KG, Lander ES, Tolley HD, Ullian AD, Palmer H. Science. 1999. 283:36-37. Full Text (html). Abstract. Comment by Andreopoulos and Response.

Effects Of Medicare's Hospital Prospective Payment System (PPS) On Disabled Medicare Beneficiaries.  Liu Korbin, Manton KG. DHHS, ASPE, HCFA. Final Report, February, 1988.

Epidemiology.   Manton KG. Encyclopedia of Gerontology. 1996. (Birren JE, Ed.). Academic Press:San Diego.

Estimates of change in chronic disability and institutional incidence and prevalence rates in the United States elderly population from the 1982, 1984 and 1989 national long-term care survey.   Manton KG, Corder LS, Stallard E. Journal of Gerontology. 1993. 48(4):S153-S166. Abstract.

Forecasting methods for HIV/AIDS and aging.   Manton KG, Stallard E. Research on Aging. 1998. Ory, MG, Zablotsky, D. eds. 20(6):846-864.

Forecasts of active life expectancy - Policy and fiscal implications.   Manton KG, Stallard E, Liu K. Journal of Gerontology. 1993. 48:11-26. Abstract.

Forecasts of future disabled and institutionalized US populations 1995 to 2040.   Manton KG, Corder LS. Ageing, Social Security and Affordability. 1998. Chapter 4.2, pp. 327-348.

Future trends in chronic disability and institutionalization: Implications for LTC service needs.   Manton KG. in Long Term Care. Jolt H, Leibovici MM (Eds). Volume in the Health Care Management: State of the Art Reviews Series. Hanley & Befus:Philadelphia. 1997. 177-191. Abstract.

Health and disability differences among racial and ethnic groups.   Manton KG, Stallard E. Racial and Ethnic Differences in the Health of Older Americans. 1997. Committee on Population, National Research Council:Washington, DC, pp. 43-104.

Health and life expectancy.   Manton KG. Brocklehurst? Textbook of Geriatric Medicine and Gerontology. 2001. 6th edition. Churchill Livingston:London, in press.

Health Specification and Biased Estimates of Wealth Effects: Fuzzy vs Crisp Health indices and the Performance of Wealth in a Competing Risks Model of Nursing Home Entry and Death.  Headen AE, Woodbury MA. Working Papers. 1995.

Home health and skilled nursing facility use: 1982-90.  Manton KG, Stallard E, Woodbury MA. Health Care Financing Review. 1994. 16(1):155-86. Abstract.

Home health and SNF use by chronically disabled persons.   Manton KG, Stallard E, Corder LS. Presented Paper. American Public Health Association, 126th Annual Meeting. Washington, DC, November 15-19. 1998.

Hospital Ownership and Cost and Quality of Care: Is There a Dime's Worth of Difference?   Sloan FA, Picone GA, Taylor DH Jr, Chou SY. Journal of Health Economics. 2001. 20(1):1-21. Abstract.

How could demographic changes affect the Social Security system: Perspectives on forecasting mortality.   Manton KG. Testimony before the House Budget Committee, Task Force for Social Security. April 13, 1999, Washington, DC.

How much do persons with Alzheimer's disease cost Medicare?   Taylor DH, Sloan FA. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society. 2000. 48(6):639-646. Abstract.

How recent advances in medical research hold the potential to increase human health and longevity, and reduce Medicare disability rates.   Manton KG. American Federation for Aging Research. 1999. Presented at the Productive Aging Policy Forum, November 2, 1999, New York.

Implications of disability decline for Medicare.   Singer BH, Manton KG. National Bureau of Economic Research. 1999. Summer Institute on Aging Workshop, July 28, Cambridge, Mass.

Inequalities of life: Statistical analysis and modeling perspectives.   Manton KG, Yashin AI. Chapter 4 in Age Between Nature and Culture. 1999. Sauvain-Dugerdil, C. (Ed). University of Geneva: Geneva Switzerland. Full Text. Table 1.

International evidence on disability trends among the elderly.   Manton KG. Final Report for the Department of Health and Human Services. 1998. ASPE Report. Full Text

Long-Term Care: Actuarial Issues in Designing Voluntary Federal-Private LTC Insurance Programs.   Barney HL, Bodnar VL, Cheung MA, Powell AV, Stallard E, Trapnell GR, Yee RK. American Academy of Actuaries:Washington, DC. 1999. Monograph. Reprint.

Longevity and long-lived populations.   Manton KG. Encyclopedia of Gerontology. 1996. Birren JE, Ed. Academic Press:San Diego.

Longevity in the United States: Age and sex specific evidence on life span limits from mortality patterns: 1960-1990.   Manton KG, Stallard E. Journal of Gerontology: Biological Sciences. 1996. 51A(5):B362-B375. Abstract.

Measuring Trends in Disability Among the Elderly: An International Review.   Waidmann Timothy A, Manton KG. Final Report for the Department of Health and Human Services Prepared under contract HHS-100-97-0010, Task order on Trends in Disability Rates Among the Elderly. 2000. June 22, 2000.

Medicaid spenddown in nursing homes.  Liu K, Doty P, Manton K. Gerontologist. 1990. 30(1):7-15. Abstract.

Models for forecasting chronic disease processes in adult and elderly populations: Effects of stochasticity.   Manton KG, Dowd E. Journal of Epidemiology and Biostatistics. 1999. 4(1):11-18. Abstract.

Monitoring changes in the health of the US elderly population: Correlates with biomedical research and clinical innovations.   Manton KG, Corder LS, Stallard E. FASEB Journal. 1997. 11(12):923-930. Full Text

Morbidity, Disability, and Long-Term Care of the Elderly: Implications for Insurance Financing.   Liu K, Manton KG, Liu BM. Milbank Quarterly. 1990. 68: 445-492. Abstract.

Multidimensional disability/mortality trajectories at ages 65 and over: The impact of state dependence.   Manton KG, Land KC. Soc Indic Res. 2000. 51(2):193-221. Full Text. Table 1. Table 2. Table 3. Table 4. Table 5. Table 6. Table 7. Table 8. Table 9. Table 10.

Multivariate Analysis of Nonresponse in Longitudinal Surveys: Evidence from the 1982 and 1989 National Long Care Surveys.  Corder LS, Woodbury MA, Manton KG. Unpublished Manuscript: Center for Demographic Studies. 1997. Duke University.

National Long Term Care Survey.   In Encyclopedia of Aging, Second Edition. 1999. (Maddox GL, Ed.). Springer, New York. Full Text

National surveys and the health and functioning of the elderly - The effects of design and content.   Corder LS, Manton KG. Journal of Am Stat Assoc. 1991. 86(414):513-525.

Noninsured Home and Community-Based Long-Term Care Incidence and Continuance Tables.   Stallard E, Yee RK. Actuarial Report Issued by the Long-Term Care Experience Committee. 2000. Society of Actuaries:Schaumberg, IL.

Nonresponse patterns among the US aged population: Data from the National Long Term Care Survey.   Corder LS, Mulder M, Manton KG. Presented at the International Conference on Survey Nonresponse. October 28-31, 1999, Portland, Oregon.

Nonwhite and white age trajectories of mortality: Evidence from extinct cohort analysis, 1950 to 1992.   Manton KG, Stallard E. Minorities, Aging, and Health. 1997. Markides K, Miranda M, eds. Sage Publications, pp. 15-35.

Predicting 10-year care requirements for older people with suspected Alzheimer's disease.   Kinosian BP, Stallard E, Lee JH, Woodbury MA, Zbrozek AS, Glick HA. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society. 2000. 48(6):631-638. Abstract.

Predicting 5-Year Outcomes of Alzheimer's Disease.  Kinosian B, Stallard E, Lee J, Woodbury M, Berzon R, Zbrosek A, Smith EM, Glick H. Journal of the American Geriatrics Society. 1998. 46(9):S70.

Proxy response patterns among the aged: Effects on estimates of health status and medical care utilization from the 1982-1984 long-term care surveys.   Corder LS, Woodbury MA, Manton KG. Journal of Clinical Epidemiology. 1996. 49(2):173-82. Abstract. Elsevier.

Public subsidies, private provision of care and living arrangements of the elderly.   Hoerger TJ, Picone GA, Sloan FA. Review of Economics and Statistics. 1996. 78(3):428-440. JSTOR.

Recent Changes In Service Use Patterns Of Disabled Medicare Beneficiaries.   Manton KG, Liu K. Health Care Financing Review. 1990. 11(3):51-66. Abstract.

Retirement and health: Estimates and projections of acute and long-term care needs and expenditures in the US elderly population.   Stallard E. Retirement Needs Framework. 2000. SoA Monograph M-RS00-01. Society of Actuaries:Schaumberg, IL, pp. 159-208.

Social Insurance (Actuarial Standards of Practice #32).   Bogart JL, Applebaum JA, Burrows EE, Foster RS, Goss SC, Gustafson CD, Khalil MO, Kleiber EJ, Ostaszewski KM, Pope JD, Schobel BD, Solomon RL, Stallard E, Steiner KA, Wandishin JA. American Academy of Actuaries:Washington, DC. 1998. 11/6/2001. Reprint.

The demography of aging.   Manton KG. Principles and Practice of Geriatric Medicine. 1998. Third Edition (Pathy, MSJ, Ed.). Wiley:London, pp. 97-110.

The dynamics of dimensions of age related disability 1982 to 1994 in the US elderly population.   Manton KG, Stallard E, Corder LS. Journal of Gerontology: Biological Sciences. 1998. 53A(1):B59-B70. Abstract. Table 1. Table 2. Table 3. Table 4. Table 5. Table 6.

The Effect Of Nursing Home Use On Medicaid Eligibility.  Liu K, Manton KG. Gerontologist. 1989. 29(1):59-66. Abstract.

The effects of health changes on projections of health service needs for the elderly population of the United States.   Singer B, Manton KG. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA. 1998. 95:15618-15622. Abstract. Full Text (.html). Reprint (.pdf). Figure 1. Figure 2.

The future growth of the long-term care population: Projections based on the 1977 National Nursing Home Survey and the 1982 Long-Term Care Survey.  Manton KG, Liu K. Third National Leadership Conference on Long-Term Care Issues. 1984.

The future of old age.   Manton KG. Geriatric Medicine and Gerontology. 1998. 5E (Brocklehurst JC, Tallis RC, Fillit HM, Eds.). Churchill Livingstone:London.

The impact of disability definition on estimates of incidence and prevalence of long term care.   Stallard E, Manton KG. Southern Demographic Association. 1997. Annual Meeting, Orlando FL, September 27.

The limits of longevity and their implications for health and mortality in developed countries.   Manton KG, Stallard E, Corder LS. UN-CBGS Symposium on Health and Mortality. 1999. (Presented at the Symposium on Health and Mortality, Brussels, Belgium, November 19-22, 1998.) Full Text. Table 1. Figure 1. Figure 2.

The relative effect of Alzheimer's disease and related dementias, disability, and comorbidities on cost of care for elderly persons.   Taylor DH, Schenkman M, Zhou J, Sloan FA. Journal of Gerontology: Ser B-Psychol Sci Soc Sci. 2001. 56(5):S285-S293. Abstract

The supply of children's time to disabled elderly parents.   Sloan FA, Picone G, Hoerger TJ. Economic Inquiry. 1997. 35(2):295-308.

Trends for the elderly-implications for income support, health and provision for long-term care.   Manton KG. Chapter 8 in Proceedings: Future Income and Health Care Needs and Resources for the Aged. (Ross SG, Walker DM, Eds.). 1994. 119-77. Proceedings of the Conference sponsored by the Public Trustees of the Social Security and Medicare Trust Funds, Baltimore, Md. Full Text. Table 1. Table 2. Table 3. Table 4. Table 5. Table 6. Table 7. Table 8. Table 9. Table 10. Table 11.

Use of medicare services before and after introduction of the prospective payment system.   Manton KG, Woodbury MA, Vertrees JC, Stallard E. Health Services Research. 1993. 28(3):269-92. Abstract

Variation in disability decline and Medicare expenditures.   Manton KG, Singer B. Proceedings of the National Academy of Sciences, USA. 2001. in press.

Vitality index in survival modeling: How physiological aging influences mortality.   Zuev SM, Yashin AI, Manton KG, Dowd E, Pogojev IB, Usmanov RN. Journal of Gerontology: Biological Sciences. 2000. 55(1):B10-B19. Abstract.